Stock Price Forecast

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About the Forecaster



Our forecast relies on Philippine Economist Stock Risk Index (PESRi) which is a model index based on stock fluctuations. Specifically, the risk of a particular stock is rated based on fluctuation of the stock price (volatility) and ease of converting a particular stock into cash (liquidity). In this report we have used the PESRi model to generate forecast numbers.


Stock Price Forecast


 
CP - Closing Price
APF - Average Price Forecast
HPF - High Price Forecast
LPF - Low Price Forecast  


Stock Growth Possibility




Definition of Terms


1. Forecast Date – defines the forecast date of the report.
2. Company – the name of the business listed in the Philippine Stock Exchange (PSE).
3. Symbol – the symbol or code of the company.
4. Closing Price – is the last price recorded before the forecast date.
5. Price Growth – is the growth of the price (opening price vs. closing price) recorded before the forecast date.
6. Loss Possibility – is the possibility that the price of a particular stock will go down, scaled from 0% to 100%; the higher the percentage, the higher the loss possibility.
7. Gain Possibility - is the possibility that the price of a particular stock will go up, scaled from 0% to 100%; the higher the percentage, the higher the gain possibility.
8. Zero Growth Possibility - is the possibility that the price of a particular stock will not change scaled from 0% to 100%; the higher the percentage, the higher the dormancy possibility.
9. Average Price Forecast – is the projected average price of a particular stock on the specified forecast date. 
10. High Price Forecast - is the projected highest price of a particular stock on the specified forecast date.
11. Low Price Forecast - is the projected lowest price of a particular stock on the specified forecast date.